Property Types Retail
Financial Market Update-Mon., Nov. 3
Nov 3, 2008
By: Dees Stribling, Contributing Editor

It's been an unusually relaxed day on Wall Street so far--but maybe everyone's holding off until the election, at long last, will be over tomorrow. We hope. As of mid-day, the DJIA, after a meandering morning, was down slightly: 8.6 points, or 0.09 percent. The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq likewise moved slightly: down 0.33 percent and up 0.42 percent, respectively.

Minneapolis-based U.S. Bancorp, known for its conservative lending practices and relatively good balance sheet, is reported to be selling the government $6.6 billion in preferred stock and warrants, thus participating in the bailout. In a statement, the bank says that it will use the dough "to engage in increased lending activity and invest for future growth, and will enhance the company's capability to assist in stimulating the United States economy," which sounds like mission statement boilerplate, but carefully leaves open the possibility of feasting on smaller banks.

Construction spending was down in September--which should be as no surprise--but only by 0.3 percent, according to the U.S. Department of Commerce. The drop wasn't as much as various economists had predicted. Housing construction led the decline, down by 1.3 percent. That wasn't a surprise, either, since the amount spent on housing construction has contracted every month except two for more than two years now.

The Institute for Supply Management, which tracks industrial output in the United States, saw its factory index drop to 38.9 percent in October, the lowest level since September 1982. At below 50 percent, the index indicates that more manufacturing firms are contracting than growing. To compile the index, the ISM asks purchasing managers if business is better or worse than in the previous month. "Worse" was the answer of choice in the wake of the credit panic, and the fact that demand for manufactured goods is down not only in this country but worldwide.

Retailers are already decorating and merchandising for Christmas, but few expect it to be merry in terms of sales. Circuit City Stores Inc. for one, is preparing for the holidays by closing 155 stores nationwide today, and liquidating their merchandise starting tomorrow. Besides lousy sales, the Richmond, Va.-based said that some of its vendors have taken "restrictive actions with respect to payment terms and the credit they make available to the company." Until today, the electronics chain had 721 locations in the United States. The move may only be a delaying action in face of bankruptcy next year.

 
Recent Retail Headlines
Dollar Retailing Seeing Good Times
The Dow Jones index took something of a dive yesterday, possibly because of ill tidings from the likes of Time Warner and Intel, or the anticipation of bad job market numbers, or maybe because it was time to yo-yo back to roughly where the market started at the beginning of the year. In any case, the Dow was down 245.40 points, or 2.72 percent, while the S&P 500 lost 3 percent exactly and the Nasdaq lost 3.23 percent.
Cushman Report: Even Manhattan Humbled in 2008 
After a steep decline in office rents and leasing activity at the end of 2008, many owners are attempting to lure tenants with aggressive deals, according to Cushman & Wakefield Inc.’s year-end report on the Manhattan office market.
The News: Holiday Fallout, Public Confidence, Debt Loom
Now that 2008 is mercifully behind the retail sector, the question of what should be on the radar for 2009 is front and center. Conversations with industry veterans and research suggest that consumer spending, the economic policies of the new president and Congress, and fallout from the holiday shopping season will shape the retail sector for at least the early part of the year.
Ken Riggs The Expert: Structural Shift on the Way
Projections that fourth-quarter-2008 holiday retail sales would usher in despair not seen since the Great Depression had everyone on pins and needles. Although November reports indicated that seasonally-adjusted retail sales, excluding automobiles, were down slightly more than 4 percent from year-ago sales, recent figures from the International Council of Shopping Centers show December comparable store sales to have declined by only 1 to 1.8 percent. From some of the pre-December sales-report jitters, I would not have been surprised to see retail spending fall 10 percent as 2008 came to a close!
No Bottom Yet for Residential Market
Despite poor consumer confidence and sour housing numbers, U.S. equity markets had a fairly positive day Tuesday, with the Dow Jones index ending up 184.46 points, or about 2.17 percent, and the S&P 500 and Nasdaq up 2.44 percent and 2.67 percent, respectively.