Property Types Retail
Dow Sluggish After Morning Jump
Nov 10, 2008
By: Dees Stribling, Contributing Editor

After a morning up, the Dow Jones index ended the day down 73.27 points, or 0.82 percent, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq a bit down as well (1.27 percent and 1.86 percent, respectively). It could be that the initial enthusiasm investors showed in other parts of the world for the Chinese stimulus plan had worn off by the time U.S. markets were open very long. Part of the downward movement in the market today also involved Goldman Sachs shares, which were down about 8.7 percent seemingly on rumors that the company is planning a new secondary equity offering, only six weeks after its most recent offering.

Mortgage finance giant Fannie Mae, one of the early stars of the Panic of 2008, is back in the financial limelight today, and not for good reasons. The firm is reporting a loss of $29 billion for its most recent fiscal quarter. Much of that total was due to a $21 billion charge involving how the firm accounts for tax credits on its books--tax credits that Fannie Mae doesn't ever expect to use, since it isn't making enough money to do so. The losses mean that Fannie Mae will likely need to draw on the $100 billion in federal money made available to it in September, which it hasn't needed yet.

"This action was necessary to maintain the stability of our financial system,'' Neel Kashkari, who for the moment heads TARP, the U.S. Treasury's bailout program, said today at a Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association conference in New York, reported Bloomberg. (No word on whether Kashkari added "such as it is" to that sentence.) The action he was referring to was the re-do bailout of AIG, which is fetching the taxpayer $40 billion worth of preferred shares in the company.

Stockholm-based D. Carnegie & Co. AB, Sweden's largest investment bank, has been seized by the Swedish government and will be sold off piece by piece. The bank's stock has lost 87 percent of its value in the last year, and was accused by the government of taking "exceptional risks" with loans. It's an all too familiar story, with a Scandinavian setting.

Electronics retailer Circuit City has filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy in the U.S. Bankruptcy Court in its hometown of Richmond, Va. The chain's decision to file comes at an unusual time for such retailer filings--just at the beginning of the Christmas shopping season. But then again, holiday shopping isn't likely to give any beleaguered retailer even a modest bit of relief this year. Circuit City has not only been pummeled by hard times in the wider economy and competition from Best Buy and Wal Mart, but also its ill-advised decision a few years back to fire a lot of better-paid shop-floor employees and replace them with cheaper ones. Oops, those higher paid employees had been spending their time driving sales.

Circuit City joins a long line of retailer casualties of 2008. Other retailer bankruptcies this year include Goody's Family Clothing, Lillian Vernon Corp., Linens 'n Things, Mervyn's, Mrs. Fields' Original Cookies Inc., Sharper Image Corp., Steve & Barry's, and Value City Department Stores.

On a more positive retail note, McDonald's Corp. has reported that its global same-store sales rose an impressive 8.2 percent in October. In the United States, its growth has been 5.3 percent. What gives? The Oak Brook, Ill.-based fast-food giant serves cheap food, of course, but there may be more to it that that. It's long been noted that during hard times, vice does well, as people turn to immediate pleasures to allay their worries about the future. Strictly speaking, a Big Mac, side of fries and a Coke don't count as vice, but healthy-eating fanatics have been trying to pour shame on the purveyors and consumers of such victuals for years.

 
Recent Retail Headlines
Dollar Retailing Seeing Good Times
The Dow Jones index took something of a dive yesterday, possibly because of ill tidings from the likes of Time Warner and Intel, or the anticipation of bad job market numbers, or maybe because it was time to yo-yo back to roughly where the market started at the beginning of the year. In any case, the Dow was down 245.40 points, or 2.72 percent, while the S&P 500 lost 3 percent exactly and the Nasdaq lost 3.23 percent.
Cushman Report: Even Manhattan Humbled in 2008 
After a steep decline in office rents and leasing activity at the end of 2008, many owners are attempting to lure tenants with aggressive deals, according to Cushman & Wakefield Inc.’s year-end report on the Manhattan office market.
The News: Holiday Fallout, Public Confidence, Debt Loom
Now that 2008 is mercifully behind the retail sector, the question of what should be on the radar for 2009 is front and center. Conversations with industry veterans and research suggest that consumer spending, the economic policies of the new president and Congress, and fallout from the holiday shopping season will shape the retail sector for at least the early part of the year.
Ken Riggs The Expert: Structural Shift on the Way
Projections that fourth-quarter-2008 holiday retail sales would usher in despair not seen since the Great Depression had everyone on pins and needles. Although November reports indicated that seasonally-adjusted retail sales, excluding automobiles, were down slightly more than 4 percent from year-ago sales, recent figures from the International Council of Shopping Centers show December comparable store sales to have declined by only 1 to 1.8 percent. From some of the pre-December sales-report jitters, I would not have been surprised to see retail spending fall 10 percent as 2008 came to a close!
No Bottom Yet for Residential Market
Despite poor consumer confidence and sour housing numbers, U.S. equity markets had a fairly positive day Tuesday, with the Dow Jones index ending up 184.46 points, or about 2.17 percent, and the S&P 500 and Nasdaq up 2.44 percent and 2.67 percent, respectively.